Research

Guillermo Toral (2025). Can anti-corruption policies curb political budget cycles? Evidence from public employment in Brazil. Under review.

Paper Best Comparative Policy Paper Award, APSA Public Policy Section Honorable Mention, Best Political Institutions Paper, LASA Political Institutions Section

Guillermo Toral (2025). Street-level rule of law: Prosecutor presence and the fight against corruption. Previous version published as GLD Working Paper no. 71.

Paper GLD Policy Brief

Guillermo Toral (2025). Internal Control as State Capacity. Previous version published as CAF working paper 2024/08.

Paper

Guillermo Toral (2025). Mission Driven Bureaucrats: Empowering People To Help Government Do Better, by Dan Honig, Oxford University Press, 2024. Governance 38:e70006.

Publisher

Guillermo Toral (2024). Turnover: How Lame-Duck Governments Disrupt the Bureaucracy and Service Delivery before Leaving Office. Journal of Politics 86.4: 1348 - 1367.

Article Publisher Appendix Replication data Non-technical summary Summary in Portuguese Best Paper Award, APSA Health Politics and Policy Section Invited media contribution @ IE Insights Invited media contribution @ Nada es Gratis Media coverage @ Nexo Media coverage @ BBC Brasil Media coverage @ Globo G1 Media coverage @ Diario do Amapa Media coverage @ MIT News

Guillermo Toral (2024). How Patronage Delivers: Political Appointments, Bureaucratic Accountability, and Service Delivery in Brazil. American Journal of Political Science 68(2): 797-815.

Article Publisher Appendix Replication data Non-technical summary Summary in Portuguese AJPS Best Article Award, MPSA Best Paper Award, REPAL Media coverage @ Folha de São Paulo Media coverage @ Frankfurter Allgemeine Media coverage @ Nexo Media coverage @ The World

Sarah Brierley, Kenneth Lowande, Rachel Augustine Potter, Guillermo Toral (2023). Bureaucratic Politics: Blind Spots and Opportunities in Political Science. Annual Review of Political Science, 26:271-90.

Article Publisher Inventory of articles on the bureaucracy

Guillermo Toral (2022). Decadent Developmentalism: The Political Economy of Democratic Brazil, by Taylor, Matthew M. New York, Cambridge University Press, 2020. Political Science Quarterly 137 (2): 435-437.

Publisher

Taylor Boas, F. Daniel Hidalgo, Guillermo Toral (2021). Competence versus Priorities: Negative Electoral Responses to Education Quality in Brazil. Journal of Politics 83.4: 1417 - 1431.

Article Publisher Appendix Replication data Pre-analysis plan, field experiment Pre-analysis plan, survey experiment

Lily L. Tsai, Benjamin S. Morse, Guillermo Toral, Varja Lipovsek (2019). Information and Accountability: Evidence Syntheses of Within-Government and Citizen-Government Accountability Pathways. Transparency & Accountability Initiative.

Report Publisher Evidence review tool

Guillermo Toral (2019). Information, oversight, and compliance: A field experiment on horizontal accountability in Brazil. Working paper.

Paper Pre-analysis plan

Lily L. Tsai, Guillermo Toral, Blair Read, Varja Lipovsek (2018). Taxation and accountability in developing countries. Transparency & Accountability Initiative.

Report Publisher

Lily L. Tsai, Benjamin S. Morse, Guillermo Toral, Varja Lipovsek (2018). Effect of International Standards on Accountability Behaviors. Transparency & Accountability Initiative.

Report Publisher

Guillermo Toral (2015). Franchise reforms in the age of migration: Why do governments enfranchise noncitizens?. MIT Working Paper 2015-12.

Paper

Barbara Bruns, Javier Luque, Guillermo Toral, David Evans, Soledad de Gregorio (2015). Recruiting better teachers. Chapter 3 in Great Teachers: How to Raise Student Learning in Latin America and the Caribbean. Washington DC: World Bank.

Book Publisher Book in Spanish Book in Portuguese

Barbara Bruns, Javier Luque, David Evans, Guillermo Toral, Noah Yarrow, Soledad de Gregorio (2015). Grooming great teachers. Chapter 4 in Great Teachers: How to Raise Student Learning in Latin America and the Caribbean. Washington DC: World Bank.

Book Publisher Book in Spanish Book in Portuguese

Guillermo Toral (2010). Immigrant Organizations as Civil Society: A Three-Dimensional Analysis. Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas 132:105-130.

Article Publisher